Confidence: Week 16 NFL Gambling Preview

Confidence is an NFL gambling preview, using statistics, matchup analysis and other metrics to create predictions readers can use at their discretion. Week 15 Misses Reviewed Only Philadelphia failed to deliver last week, resulting in a tidy 1.73-unit profit. The opening kickoff proved an ill omen for the Eagles, as Cowboys placekicker Dan Bailey’s boot…

Excellence in Return Blocking: Chiefs Josh Martin

For every great return, there are many great blocks. Eleven players working together in orchestrated chaos, punt return blockers are only recognized when they get penalized for blocking in the back. Not on Chuck Zodda‘s watch. Here is how one extraordinary individual effort earned Kansas City Chiefs Josh Martin the coveted title of Special Teams…

Anatomy of an Improvement: New England’s Red Zone Defense

NFL defenses are often gauged by their success or failure once an opposing offense reaches the goal line’s doorstep. Dave Archibald explores how the New England Patriots have reinvented their red zone defense. At the bye in Week 10, the New England Patriots rated as mediocre when defending inside their own 20-yard-line, ranking 19th in…

Reel Film Week 16 Preview

The Reel Film Week 16 Preview is Mark Schofield’s look at the most compelling matchups in the NFL on tape. Scouring the film, highlighting interesting play design, optimum offense, innovative defense and how the inches really matter. This week brings divisional battles featuring #PHIvsWAS and #ATLvsNO, along with games between playoff contenders in #KCvsPIT and…

Crunching the Numbers: Best Team in the NFC?

The AFC has a clear-cut top team in the 10-3 New England Patriots, who own victories over each of the other three division leaders in their conference (Denver Broncos, Indianapolis Colts and Cincinnati Bengals). The picture in the NFC, however, is more muddled, with half a dozen teams in the hunt. Can the numbers tell…