Confidence: Super Bowl Gambling Preview

Confidence is an NFL gambling preview using advanced statistics, matchup analysis and other metrics to create predictions for readers to use at their discretion. Guess what topic won’t even be mentioned in this column? Here’s a hint: It’s something everyone and their mother is talking about. It’s controversial and provocative. And if you haven’t had…

NFL Playoff Rematches: Is History A Good Teacher?

Tomorrow’s conference championships are NFL playoff rematches of regular season battles. The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots both scored decisive wins over the Green Bay Packers and Indianapolis Colts, respectively. Historically, what do earlier duels tell us about results of subsequent rematches against the spread, and does margin of victory matter? Konstantin Medvedovsky digs…

Confidence: Week 16 NFL Gambling Preview

Confidence is an NFL gambling preview, using statistics, matchup analysis and other metrics to create predictions readers can use at their discretion. Week 15 Misses Reviewed Only Philadelphia failed to deliver last week, resulting in a tidy 1.73-unit profit. The opening kickoff proved an ill omen for the Eagles, as Cowboys placekicker Dan Bailey’s boot…